For some, it is the reasoning that “If party X is bad, then (opposing) party Y must be good.” For others, it is that their views that shifted away from their chosen party and/or that party’s policies have shifted away from them, but none of the other parties are an acceptable choice, and thus there is no motivation to change their registration. The hard to measure nature of negative partisanship can have political parties overestimating their support, and then being shocked when a block of voters switches to another party.(foot1)(foot2)Recent national polls have reported huge dissatisfaction with the two major parties. For example, an ABC News/Washington Post poll found that 67% thought the Democratic Party was “out of touch with people’s concerns”; 62% for the Republican Party; 58% for Trump.

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